In 1979, the people of Iran raised up to overthrow a goverment they did not approve of. That revolution was supposed to put in place an islamic goverment, empowered by the people. But the recent and highly contested election results triggered a series of protests in which the people of Iran made clear that they did not feel empowered by their government. "It's not about Mousavi, or any candidate, it's about democracy" explained a young protester in the streets of Teheran. It seems to me, from the multiple accounts, interviews, tweets, blogs, and cell-phone videos from the streets, that the people weren't particularly upset with the system of government -at least at the beginning- they just wanted to have a say in how things are run, and they want to be able to express themselves freely -the problem is that this is a classic example of what happens when one branch of government has power over the others: the people's sovereignty soon starts to fade.
So now, with the whole world paying close attention, Iran finds itself at a fork in the road. The Supreme Leader must be thinking about what happened to the last Shah during the revolution, armed forces or not. Using force to repress the protests would discredit whatever credibility it has left before its own people and abroad, and it might backfire, triggering another revolution. He even has strong opposition within the clerical branches of government, supporting the protests. The safest way out seems to be to call for a re-election, and this time making sure it is legitimate. This of course, may weaken his position in the eyes of his opponents, and probably his own; though it seems to me that with the right moves, he could easily turn the situation to his advantage and gain popular support.
Khamenei said he would address the people tomorrow, and in the meantime, the people continue to flood the streets to make sure no one forgets what they want.
The world watches, and holds its breath.
>Al Jazeera article
>The Economist article
>Iran Timeline
Government of Iran:
No comments:
Post a Comment